So, Dallas, ATL and Tampa are all 9-5. Let me know if I am doing this correct. Dallas is the 5-seed, because they beat Tampa head-to-head and have a better NFC record than Atlanta. Right? If not right, how is it all done?
I know first would be head-to-head meaning did one team beat the other two. That didn't happen so i would guess they go to conference record next???
Very complicated procedure applied here. If there are 3 or more teams tied for the wild card, then division tie-breakers are applied to eliminate all but the highest ranked club within each division. So it appears Atlanta gets eliminated first, then Dallas beat Tampa head to head, so they are 5th ranked vs Tampa being 6th ranked. I got Philly going 10-5-1, so that would leave Dallas, Tampa and Atlanta fighting it out for the 6th seed.
10-5-1 may not be enough to get Philly in. Atlanta finishes with Minnesota and St. Louis. They beat Minnesota this week, you can pretty much count on them getting to 11-5. Tampa finishes with San Diego and Oakland. I like the NFC South's chances of getting BOTH wildcards.
I have Atlanta losing to Minnesota. San Diego still has an outside shot at winning their division and the game will still matter next week. Don't quite count a Tampa win just yet.
I either Tampa or Atlanta losing one of the two, too. They both playing teams very hungry with shots to win their divisions. Matt Ryan proved yesterday he is . . . a rookie and threw 2 picks and fumbled in overtime that would have cost his team the game had they not recovered it. And Tampa is hapless without Garcia.
