Let's visit some of the less likely Bowl Possibilities

By now, we all know that the Rose Bowl is the MOST LIKELY bowl game for LSU to go to....but as we all know, weird things can happen that could assure a spot for LSU elsewhere. This list shows what would have to happen for LSU to be placed in certain bowl games.


For BCS Games:

USC wins, Florida wins OR
USC wins, Arkansas wins OR

UCLA wins, Florida wins AND Florida does not pass Michigan in BCS Standings
OR
UCLA wins, Arkansas wins AND LSU does not pass Michigan in BCS Standings

Resultant Bowl Game: Tournament of Roses (BCS)

UCLA wins, Florida wins AND Florida DOES pass Michigan in BCS Standings

Resultant Bowl Game: Nokia Allstate Sugar Bowl (BCS)

UCLA wins, Arkansas wins AND LSU DOES pass Michigan in BCS Standings

Resultant Bowl Game: BCS National Championship Game (BCS)


To be placed in a Non-BCS Game, the Rose, Sugar, or Orange would have to pass up LSU in favor of Notre Dame and/or Louisville (if Rutgers is the Big East Champion). The Likely Resultant Bowl Game would be the Capital One Bowl (LSU visited 2 years ago, Auburn, the other option, visited last year).

 

We will go to the Rose in these scenarios. Who do you project the Rose to take in these cases? About the only scenario where the Rose will not take us is UCLA and FL win and Fl goes to the NCG. You've covered this and we will go to the Sugar in this case. The Orange is a non-starter unless the Rose takes someone else besides us and I don't see that happening.

 

Question here: How would LSU pass Michigan in the BCS with Michigan having the better record?

 

Pretty good question indeed. I suspect that guy is wearing Joe Pa's glasses and is blindly feeling his way through these scenarios.

By the way, welcome to the forum.

 

There's no way LSU passes Michigan up prior to the bowl games... I don't know what psulions2007 is thinking could happen to lead to that.

 

+1 on that. One of our BCS guru's here, islstl, has already given us the low-down on this and I agree with it 100%. If UF and USC lose, the highest LSU moves up is to #3 in the BCS. The most likely scenario we see is that LSU either stays at #5 or moves up to #4 as it is more likely that UF loses to Arky than it is USC losing to the Bruins tomorrow.

 

You're right on this one...I apparently cannot count to three.

Oh I don't think they will at all, but you cannot discount the very very slim possibility because there is the possibility. This would mainly be focused on how many pollsters have to quickly reorganize their thoughts into rematch/no rematch and the computers analyzing Arkansas as a better quality win by Arky beaty Gayty.

 

I've read all of these different post about how if USC wins and Ark. wins that Florida would most likely get an at-large BCS bowl basically keeping us out of the Rose. Explain to me in layman's terms how Florida would get the nod over us when we would most likely have a better ranking? Having said all that, I believe that USC and Ark. will win and we will still go to the Rose!

 

Neither LSU nor Michigan play again until their bowl game(s). I don't see how LSU has any chance at all of passing Michigan is the BCS rankings. Michigan only lost to OSU by what, 3-4 points? I don't think the issue with a rematch is enough to convince voters to leapfrog a 2-loss LSU team over Michigan.

 

If the Rose Bowl picks some team other than LSU (such as Notre Dame), and the Orange Bowl picks Florida, then LSU would be unable to go to a BCS bowl, because of the rule that limits each conference to a maximum of two teams per year in BCS bowls.