1. Lee to Randle will be more effective/explosive than McCarron to Maze 2. Brad Wing helps LSU win field position battle 3. Tyrann Mathieu the playmaker/game changer that Bama doesn't have on defense 4. LSU will be more aggressive on offense taking shots down the field than Alabama 5. Redzone offense is the deciding factor in the final score
+1 As for as the bama fans, that soothing light at the end of their tunnel is a freight train headed their way.
Admittedly, I am biased towards LSU, and I suspect you are dead-on with points 1,2, and 5. But as someone who has watched most of the games played by both teams, and as someone who follows both programs carefully on a year'round basis, I don't agree with you on points 3 and 4. I hope that LSU will be more aggressive early in the game in an attempt to command an early lead and take the partisan crowd down a notch or two. But honestly it will be rather foolish to assume LSU will do so without first establishing the rush. An early turnover on the road will be a difficult obstacle to overcome, even for Les Miles. Regarding point number 3 ..... you're completely kidding yourself if you don't think bama has playmakers that contribute every bit as much as TM ... and without the baggage. On-field leadership is at a premium in games that are as massive as this one. Good luck ... I hope you beat 'em.
saban is 5-1 ATS in revenge games @ bama. saban is 21-7 ATS in all conference revenge games (including Mich St), including 19-4 ATS after a win. les is 19-32-4 ATS in all conference games as head coach at LSU, including 4-7 ATS as an underdog. 13-29-3 ATS after a win Les is 3-13-3 ATS at LSU against SEC teams that have a win percentage of greater than .800 (1-6 ATS as an underdog). just a little spread numbers I found when doing a little research. this may explain why the line seems high to most people.
