There is very little chance Texas can overtake Cal in the BCS standings. Actually Cal will gain on Texas in the computer polls this week, making the margin greater than last week, which boils down to more voters having to switch their votes from Cal to Texas being 4th ranked. Not gonna happen. Auburn had to lose to Tennessee for any possible chance of Texas surpassing Cal and that didn't happen. My computer poll projections: ............. KM...JS...RB...ST....PW.. WC Texas......4......4....4. ....5.....4......4 = .88 Cal..........5......5.... 10...6......5.....6 = .82 RB (Billingsley), ST (Anderson/Hester) and WC (Colley) are locked in. The only question marks are KM (Massey), JS (Sagarin) and PW (Wolfe). I don't have access to Massey's site (KM) so I am speculating that the victory by Cal moves them past Utah but not past Texas. If somebody can give me the numbers just on those 3 teams (UT, Utah, Cal) from last week, it would be greatly appreciated. So worst case is Cal remains at 6 in KM. The key poll in all of this is Jeff Sagarin. Right now, Cal lies 6th but just behind #5 Utah and #4 Texas. They have a chance to actually surpass Texas as well, giving Texas a second #5 finish. This causes Texas' computer poll avg. to come down to .87. That would seal the deal for sure. Right now Texas is looking to gain a .10 advantage from last week in the computer polls over Cal. Last week had Texas at .88 and Cal at .80. It just needs to shift .10 with either Texas going up (not going to happen now that all top 3 teams won), or Cal going down (again not likely since Cal won against a 6-4 team). The Southern Miss victory over UAB last week looks to be the backbreaker for Texas (would have had a 5-5 record instead, hurting Cal's SOS and scoring in every computer poll that uses it). Using a Texas = .88, Cal = .80 Computer poll aggregate Texas needs to gain 3 points total between the AP and Coaches poll combined (Texas +3, Cal -3). Approximately 2 1/2 % of the voters. Using a Texas = .88, Cal = .81 Computer Poll aggregate OR Using a Texas = .87, Cal = .80 Computer Poll aggregate Texas needs to gain 12 points total between the AP and Coaches poll combined (Texas +12, Cal - 12). Approximately 10 % of the voters. Using a Texas = .87, Cal = .81 Computer poll aggregate OR Using a Texas = .88, Cal = .82 Computer poll aggregate Texas needs to gain 19 points total between the AP and Coaches poll combined (Texas +19, Cal -19). Approximately 16 % of the voters. Texas could very well get the 3 points needed in the first scenario, but the likelihood that the voters shift 12 total points around or more, as needed in the last 2 scenarios, just isn't in the cards.
yep I agree. It's back to cotton for the sips, and I love it. Partly b/c I simply can't stand Texas. I've had a belly full of all the "Big 12 superiority" and "Overrated, arrogant SEC" talk, as I'm sure you have living in Austin as well. I am curious to read their reaction this morning to Cal's win last night. But, as usual, I can't get on their main message board (hornfan.com). That board chokes (bandwidth issues?) like Texas against OU. Fitting I suppose.
Have no clue if it's enough or not, probably not enough by itself...but Texas gained 23 on Cal in the AP poll.
LMAO Funny **** ... Dem Texis klowns sho' dew luv dat Cotton ... maybee nex yar dey gone go reely far and axually get to fly an arplane ... to da "POLYESTER" bowl way up nort in Antlers, Oaklahomer
The AP is out, Texas had a 23 vote swing: CAL: .861 TEX: .823 That is how the AP will count. using last weeks Coaches poll CAL: .862 Tex: .830 Computers: Cal .800 Tex: .880 means: .841 Cal and .8443 Texas meaning Texas is in the BCS... If Texas holds .880 and Cal moves to .820 (possible): .84766 for Cal. So its likely up to the coaches.
Do that again with a 43 point gain in the coaches poll and I don't think it matters what the computers say.
TEXAS IS IN THE BCS Coaches poll: .843 for Cal .84 for Texas Mathmatically impossible for Cal to catch Texas
And rightfully so. Southern Miss exposed Cal and the Pac 10 as a big fish and a small pond respectively.
