This is the best breakdown of the game i have seen yet. Sounds bout right. Provide a link GEAUX TIGERS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Because this is one of the games I will actually "visit Vegas" on this weekend, I have spent some time gathering the type of info I think I need to make a good decision... like the following: "Can Alabama execute a sustained drive against LSU? If you define a sustained drive as being 60 yards or more and consisting of at least 7 plays, then Alabama has been woeful since their early September game against South Carolina. In conference, Alabama had one sustained drive against MSU (12p, 69 yds, FG), one against Tennessee (10p, 65 yds, FG), one against Arkansas (10p, 79 yds, TD) and one, yes only one, in their blowout of Florida (7p, 80 yds, TD). What Bama has done well is sneak in a big play for points and gain field position through creating turnovers. With Prothro out, the big play opportunities are limited. If LSU creates field position of their own with their superior punting and return special teams, then this is their game to lose. Take the spread. LSU 27, Alabama 13.
Point taken, but there's hardly a better team in the country at giving opponents gift turnovers and such than LSU. When a team's opportunism is a strength and they play a team whose prolific gift-giving is a weakness, I get worried. Generating TOs is hardly just luck---it's part preparation, part excellent technique (stripping the ball, etc.) and part being very physical and creating fumbles due to shattering hits and physicality. I'd love, love nothing more than for this to be the game LSU "puts it all together" in all 3 phases of the game, but if they couldn't do it against the Appy Sts of the world, I don't see it happening in a road game against the #3 team in the country. It'll be turnover and penalty-filled for the Tigers with a FG deciding it late: 13-10 sounds about right for LSU.
Also from CFN is Matt Zemek's perspective on the game. Actually, I think he's spot on with his comments on this one: Couldn't agree more, but again: if there was one game on the schedule that I do *not* expect LSU to exhibit excellent ball security, discipline in terms of not getting about a billion penalties on offense, it's on the road against the #3 team in the country. Truly hope I'm wrong on this one and LSU wins going away, but I just don't see it from here.
How many TD passes have been dropped? I recall one by Bowe and one by Doucet...and we won both games. It's not really a problem.
