LSU Chances of BCS Bowl

Discussion in 'The Tiger's Den' started by cal24, Nov 9, 2009.

  1. cal24

    cal24 Founding Member

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    Well for the most part Saturdays loss put an end to LSU getting
    a shot at a BCS Bowl. Most likely Alabama and Florida will be
    12-0 going into the SEC Championship game with the winner
    going on to the NC game in Pasadena and the loser going to
    the Sugar Bowl. You can have only 2 BCS bowls per Conference
    so LSU will be left out. Now if Alabama or Florida were to lose
    2 of their last 3 games and then lose in the SEC Championship
    game. That team would have 3 losses and if LSU was 10-2
    they could possibly jump that team for a BCS Bowl. I know that
    the likelyhood of this happening is slim to none but an interesting
    scenerio to dream about.:geaux:
     
  2. LaSalleAve

    LaSalleAve when in doubt, mumble

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    I think if Alabama got drummed by Auburn, and drummed by UF, they wouldn't go to the Sugar. What are the chances of that happening though?
     
  3. cal24

    cal24 Founding Member

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    I don't know why but my gut tells me that this weeks
    Alabama game against Mississippi State is not going
    to be a gimmie. Alabama will probably win but I would
    not be surprised if Mississippi State Upsets them.
     
  4. LaSalleAve

    LaSalleAve when in doubt, mumble

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    too bad croom isn't there, it would be a given.
     
  5. bayareatiger

    bayareatiger If it's too loud YOU'RE TOO OLD

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    I
    am
    really
    diggin'
    your
    tab
    shift
    style
    dude
    .

    Looks
    like
    you
    may
    have
    started
    a
    trend
    even
    though
    you
    forgot
    that
    this
    actually
    happened
    in
    2006
    when
    we
    weren't
    in
    the
    SEC
    championship
    game
    yet
    still
    made
    it
    to
    a
    BCS
    game
    in
    the
    Sugar
    Bowl
    .

    I
    know
    because
    I
    was
    at
    the
    game
    .

    Have
    some
    faith
    brother
    !

    :geaux:
     
  6. Richdog

    Richdog 02 Cecilia alumni champs

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    refs won't allow an upset.
     
  7. cal24

    cal24 Founding Member

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    yea in 2006 we beat Arkansas the last game of the year
    but they only had 1 loss and we had lost to Auburn and
    Florida so Arkansas faced Florida in the SECCG and the
    rest is history. After Arky lost to Fla the Sugar picked
    us over them. I had forgot about that.
    Keep the faith...
     
  8. OkieTigerTK

    OkieTigerTK Tornado Alley

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    pretty much what i was thinking.
     
  9. Herb

    Herb Founding Member

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    Even after the Bama loss, LSU is 8th in the BCS standings. Some of the teams in front of LSU (Georgia Tech, Cincinnati, TCU) may suffer from strength of schedule between now and then which might drop them behind LSU in BCS rankings.

    If the season ended today, LSU would be a strong favorite for a BCS bowl bid.
     
  10. Berge

    Berge Founding Member

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    I'd give us a 1-2% chance without Bama losing to State or Auburn.

    LSU will drop back down to 9th likely after this weekend with no major upsets. The giant boost in the computers Bama gave us will be taken away by La Tech.

    LSU then needs TCU, Cinci, and Georgia Tech (and probably USC) to all be upset in the next four weeks. I am ruling out any chance Boise loses.

    This might put LSU at #5 before conference championship games (Ohio State/Iowa might jump us).

    Here is where the very low 1-2% chance lies:

    Rankings:

    1. Florida
    2. Texas
    3. Bama
    4. Boise St.
    5. LSU

    A Bama loss would have to drop them BELOW LSU to #5, moving LSU up to 4, giving them an automatic BCS berth.

    After writing all that out, I put it at a .5% chance. :lol:

    A Bama loss to Auburn, then Florida gives LSU the best chance.
     

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