Here are the results from the 1st round using Scout's rankings. If someone comes across the Rivals rankings post them here. 1. Bradford -- 4 stars 2. Suh -- 4 3. McCoy -- 5 4. Trent Williams -- 3 5. Berry -- 5 6. Okung -- 4 7. Haden -- 4 8. McClain -- 4 9. Spiller -- 5 10. Alualu -- 3 11. Anthony Davis -- 5 12. Matthews -- 2 13. Graham -- 5 14. Thomas -- 4 15. Pierre Paul -- 5 JUCO (NR in HS) 16. Morgan -- 4 17. Lupati -- 2 18. Pouncey -- 4 19. Weatherspoon -- 2 20. Jackson -- 3 21. Gresham -- 4 22. Thomas -- 3 23. Buluga -- 4 24. Dez Bryant -- 4 25. Tebow -- 5 26. Dan Williams -- 3 27. McCourty -- 2 28. Odrick -- 4 29. Wilson -- 2 30. Best -- 4 31. Highes -- 2 32. Robinson -- 4 7 5star = 22% 14 4star = 44% 5 3star = 16% 6 2star = 19% Looks like Scout did a pretty good job if you use this as an indicator but there are many other variables. 66% were 4* or higher. There are going to be more 4*s given there are more prospects ranked 4 and 3 stars compared to 5*s. Also shows how arbitrary rankings are given almost 35% were 3* or less.
Always enlightening to look at that distribution. What will also be interesting is how many 5* drop into rounds 2-7, because the rating on them was wrong, or maybe they had already developed all they were going to, or their press clippings went to their head and they just didn't develop, or a 3* developed a little later and outworked them, or the 5* got in trouble (RP)... A whole lot happens between 18 and 22.
Here are the Rankings by Rivals: 1) Sam Bradford - 3 Stars 2) Ndamakong Suh - 4 Stars (Top 100) 3) Gerald McCoy - 5 Stars 4) Trent Williams - 3 Stars 5) Eric Berry - 5 Stars 6) Russell Okung - 3 Stars 7) Joe Haden - 4 stars (top 100) 8) Rolando McClain - 4 stars (top 100) 9) C.J. Spiller - 5 Stars 10) Tyson Alualu - 3 Stars 11) Anthony Davis - 4 Stars (top 100) 12) Ryan Matthews - 3 Stars 13) Brandon Graham - 5 Stars 14) Earl Thomas - 4 Stars 15) Jason Pierre-Paul - 4 Stars (JUCO) 16) Derrick Morgan - 4 Stars (Top 100) 17) Mike Iupati - 2 Stars 18) Maurkice Pouncey - 4 Stars 19) Sean Weatherspoon - 2 Stars 20) Kareem Jackson - 4 Stars 21) Jermaine Gresham - 4 Stars (top 100) 22) Demaryius Thomas - 3 Stars 23) Bryan Bulaga - 4 Stars (top 100) 24) Dez Bryant - 4 Stars (top 100) 25) Dan Williams - 3 Stars 26) Tim Tebow - 5 Stars 27) Devin McCourty - 2 Stars 28) Jared Odrick - 4 Stars (top 100) 29) Kyle Wilson - 2 Stars 30) Jahvid Best - 4 Stars (top 100) 31) Jerry Hughes - 2 Stars 32) Patrick Robinson - 4 Stars 5 Stars: 5 = 16% 4 Stars: 15 = 47% 3 Stars: 7 = 22% 2 Stars: 5 = 16%
If you consider this a viable option to compare Scout did slightly better at identifying top prospects and Scout did slightly better at the bottom end. Pretty much a draw but Scout had the % edge. However, these rankings are just to rank players based on future contributions to college football not the NFL.
