2016 State by State General Election Polling Tracker

Discussion in 'Free Speech Alley' started by Tiger in NC, Jun 1, 2016.

  1. LSUpride123

    LSUpride123 PureBlood

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    Why
     
  2. Tiger in NC

    Tiger in NC There's a sucker born everyday...

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    white voters with a college degree
    Iowa: In July it was 44-37 for Clinton, now it is 56-25 for Clinton
    Ohio: In July it was 39-34 for Clinton, now it is 45-37 for Clinton
    Pennsylvania: In July it was 47-37 for Clinton, now it is 53-32 for Clinton

    No Republican candidate has lost this constituency in the past 60 years. Romney won this demographic by somewhere around 10 points in 2012. In practical terms what does this do? It completely offsets Trumps lead among non-college educated white voters, which is one demographic that he is outperforming Romney with.
     
  3. Winston1

    Winston1 Founding Member

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    Why? Because DT is self destructing. He is proving he is totally unfit for office and anyone with a brain can see it.
    It is such a tragedy that the country is saddled with two such destructive candidates. If DT weren't shooting his dick off hourly, the news about HRC would disqualify her. This morning emails were released showing collaboration between her people in the State Dept and contributors to the Clinton Foundation. In any other time her corruption, lying and incompetence would have her laughed off the stage and ruined. She is almost as toxic as DT. What she has done and is doing is indefensible.
    As I noted previously we are totally screwed.
     
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  4. gumborue

    gumborue Throwin Ched

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    It's called critical thinking.
     
  5. Bengal B

    Bengal B Founding Member

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    Sorry you never grew up and grew out of your college radical liberalism. It must be hard to understand that somebody has to pay for your free shit when you are still living off your daddy's dime.
     
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  6. shane0911

    shane0911 Helping lost idiots find their village

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    FIFY
     
  7. gumborue

    gumborue Throwin Ched

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    I voted for bush and Perot in college. If you ever get out of your redneck cocoon, you may see the value of commonwealth.

    What free stuff?
    And what dime?
     
  8. LSUpride123

    LSUpride123 PureBlood

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    Define your version of commonwealth.
     
  9. Tiger in NC

    Tiger in NC There's a sucker born everyday...

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    Weekly Update:
    Battleground polls published over the past week. These numbers include Johnson and Stein but I'm not going to list their numbers here for obvious reason.
    Arizona, CBS, 42-44, Trump
    Nevada, CBS, 43-41, Clinton
    Missouri, Remington, 42-44, Trump
    Pennsylvania, NBC, 39-35; Quinnipiac, 48-39; Susquehanna, 46-37, all Clinton
    Ohio, NBC, 39-35; JMC Quinnipiac, 44-42, both Clinton
    Georgia, Gravis, 39-43, Trump; JMC Analytics, 44-37, Clinton
    Wisconsin, Marquette, 47-34, Clinton
    New Hampshire, Vox Populi, 41-31, Clinton
    Iowa, Suffolk, 36-37, Trump; NBC, 35-35
    South Carolina, PPP, 39-41, Trump
    Florida, NBC, 41-36, Clinton; Opinion Savvy, 45-44, Clinton; Qunnipiac, 43-43
    Virginia, NBC, 43-31, Clinton; CBS, 49-37, Clinton
    North Carolina, NBC, 45-36, Clinton; PPP, 43-41 Clinton
    Colorado, NBC, 41-29, Clinton

    Now for our polling averages, which I am listing in order of competiveness:
    Missouri
    Past Month, 39-44.3, Trump
    Past 2 Wks, 42-44, Trump
    Past Week, 42-44, Trump
    South Carolina
    Past Month, 39-41, Trump
    Past 2 Wks, 39-41, Trump
    Past Week, 39-41, Trump
    Iowa
    Past Month, 38.5-38.8, Trump
    Past 2 Wks, 35.5-36, Trump
    Past Week, 35.5-36, Trump
    Arizona
    Past Month, 43-43
    Past 2 Wks, 43-43
    Past Week, 41-44, Trump
    Georgia
    Past Month, 42.5-42.5
    Past 2 Wks, 42.2-41.8, Clinton
    Past Week, 41.5-40, Clinton
    Nevada
    Past Month, 41.8-41.3, Clinton
    Past 2 Wks, 43-41, Clinton
    Past Week, 43-41, Clinton
    Florida
    Past Month, 41.6-40.9, Clinton
    Past 2 Wks, 43-40.5, Clinton
    Past Week, 43-41, Clinton
    Ohio
    Past Month, 40.4-38.6, Clinton
    Past 2 Wks, 41.5-38.5, Clinton
    Past Week, 41.5-38.5, Clinton
    North Carolina
    Past Month, 43-39.8, Clinton
    Past 2 Wks, 43.3-41, Clinton
    Past Week, 44-38.5, Clinton
    Michigan
    Past Month, 39.4-33.2, Clinton
    Past 2 Wks, 42-32, Clinton
    Past Week, No New Polling
    Pennsylvania
    Past Month, 44.3-37.5, Clinton
    Past 2 Wks, 46.2-37.6, Clinton
    Past Week, 46.3-37.3, Clinton
    Colorado
    Past Month, 39.8-32.6, Clinton
    Past 2 Wks, 41-29, Clinton
    Past Week, 41-29, Clinton
    New Hampshire
    Past Month, 41.37-33.3, Clinton
    Past 2 Wks, 44-31.5, Clinton
    Past Week, 41-31, Clinton
    Virginia
    Past Month, 43-34, Clinton
    Past 2 Wks, 46-34, Clinton
    Past Week, 43-31, Clinton
    Wisconsin
    Past Month, 45-35.5, Clinton
    Past 2 Wks, 47-34, Clinton
    Past Week, 47-34, Clinton
    New Mexico
    No New Polling in the past month, last poll was 41-33, Clinton

    As you can see Clinton is opening up sizeable leads in several states and within the next month if there isn't movement toward Trump I will likely remove Wisconsin, Virginia, New Hampshire, Colorado, Pennsylvania and Michigan since she has sustained sizeable leads on Trump in all of those states. Doing so would give her 268 electoral votes and only needing two more between the remaining battleground states of New Mexico, North Carolina, Florida, Nevada, Georgia, Arizona, Iowa, Ohio, South Carolina and Missouri. Put another way....if Clinton wins New Mexico, which is highly likely, Trump could win North Carolina, Florida, Ohio, Nevada, Georgia, Arizona, Iowa, South Carolina and Missouri and still lose the election 273-269.

    Unless Trump can turn things around very soon, his campaign is likely doomed. I don't know any other way to put it.
     
  10. LSUTiga

    LSUTiga TF Pubic Relations

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    No other way TO put it. Right now he has about as much of a chance at being elected as Osama.

    I hope the next wiki leaks are damaging.
     

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