2016 State by State General Election Polling Tracker

Discussion in 'Free Speech Alley' started by Tiger in NC, Jun 1, 2016.

  1. Tiger in NC

    Tiger in NC There's a sucker born everyday...

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    Latest polling updates:

    States that are safely Trump (electoral votes):
    Alaska (3), Alabama (9), Idaho (4), Utah (6), Montana (3), Wyoming (3), North Dakota (3), South Dakota (3), Nebraska (5), Kansas (6), Oklahoma (7), Texas (38), Louisiana (8), Arkansas (6), Mississippi (6), Tennessee (11), Kentucky (8), West Virginia (5), Indiana (11)

    States that are safely Clinton (electoral votes):
    Hawaii (4), Washington (12), Oregon (7), California (55), Minnesota (10), Illinois (20), Maine (4), Massachusets (11), Rhode Island (4), Connecticut (7), New Jersey (14), Delaware (3), Maryland (10), DC (3), Vermont (3), New York (29)

    Totals: Clinton 196, Trump 145

    States where Clinton leads more than 5 points over the past month, 2 weeks and week:
    Wisconsin (10), Pennsylvania (20), Virginia (13), Michigan (16), Colorado (9), New Hampshire (4), New Mexico (5)

    Totals: Clinton 273, Trump 145

    States where the race is within the margin of error:
    Missouri (10) leans Trump, South Carolina (9) leans Trump, Georgia (16) slight lean to Trump, Arizona (11) leans Trump, Nevada (6) leans slightly to Clinton, Iowa (6) leans slightly to Clinton, Ohio (18) leans Clinton, North Carolina (15) leans Clinton, Florida (29) leans Clinton

    Consider this: Trump can win every state that Romney won in 2012 and flip Nevada, Iowa, Ohio and Florida and still lose the election.

    If election were held today:

    Clinton 347
    Trump 191
     
  2. LSUTiga

    LSUTiga TF Pubic Relations

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    It's rigged.
     
    Tiger in NC likes this.
  3. LSUpride123

    LSUpride123 PureBlood

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    If your dad was your mom just think of the possibilities.
     
  4. Bengal B

    Bengal B Founding Member

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    Shaved her legs and he was a she, hey babe, take a walk on the wild side
     
  5. islstl

    islstl Playoff committee is a group of great football men Staff Member

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    Did I reed that correctly?
     
  6. Bengal B

    Bengal B Founding Member

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    Walk On The Wild Side
    Lou Reed

    Holly came from Miami, Fla
    Hitchhiked her way across the USA.
    Plucked her eyebrows on the way
    Shaved her leg and then he was she - she said:
    Hey Babe, take a walk on the wild side,
    Said hey honey, take a walk on the wild side.
    Candy came from out on the island,
    In the backroom she was everybodys darling,
    But she never lost her head
    Even when she was given head - she said
    Hey Babe, take a walk on the wild side,
    Said hey honey, take a walk on the wild side.
    And the coloured girls go, doo dodoo
    Little Joe never once gave it away,
    Ev'rybody had to pay and pay.
    A hustle here and a hustle there
    New York city is no place where they said:
    Hey Babe, take a walk on the wild side,
    Said hey Babe, take a walk on the wild side.
     
  7. LSUTiga

    LSUTiga TF Pubic Relations

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    ruh roh NC. Don't look now but guess what?
     
  8. tirk

    tirk im the lyrical jessie james

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    Bengal B and LSUTiga like this.
  9. LSUTiga

    LSUTiga TF Pubic Relations

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    red's never coming back.
     
  10. Tiger in NC

    Tiger in NC There's a sucker born everyday...

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    I have said many times before and I'll say it again, National polls mean nothing. I said so when Clinton was ahead by 8-10 in the national polling and I'll say so again. The only polls that matter are the state polls. Hillary's convention bounce has shrunk just as Trump's did but you are dreaming if you think Trump is going to win this election guys.
    http://www.270towin.com/maps/7Gg8d

    The link I have provided shows where we truly are right now. Here are the true battleground states and the average polling margin for each candidate. Outside of these battlegrounds Clinton currently holds 263 electoral votes and Trump holds 145. These are states that either candidate currently holds at least a 5 point average polling lead. The battlegrounds are as follows:

    Georgia, Trump leads by 0.4 points on average (16 electoral votes)
    North Carolina, Clinton leads by 0.6 points on average (15 electoral votes)
    Iowa, Trump leads by 1.6 points on average (6 electoral votes)
    Ohio, Clinton leads by 2.2 points on average (18 electoral votes)
    Nevada, Clinton leads by 2.5 points on average (6 electoral votes)
    Arizona, Trump leads by 2.7 points on average (11 electoral votes)
    Florida, Clinton leads by 3 points on average (29 electoral votes)
    Wisconsin, Clinton leads by 3.3 points on average (10 electoral votes)
    Missouri, Trump leads by 4 points on average (10 electoral votes)
    South Carolina, Trump leads by 4.3 points on average (9 electoral votes)

    Out of these Clinton only needs 7 more electoral votes to carry the election. So she could win Georgia, North Carolina, Ohio, Arizona, Florida, Wisconsin, Missouri, or South Carolina and lose every other battleground and still win the election. That said, the very fact that Georgia, Arizona and South Carolina are battleground states should tell you everything that you need to know about this election. The fact that New Hampshire (9 pt lead), Michigan (6 pt lead), Pennsylvania (6 pt lead), Colorado (7 pt lead) and Virginia (8 pt lead) were originally considered battleground states and are now off the table should also clue you in about the direction this election is taking. Simply considering the 2012 map, where exactly is Trump stealing a state that Obama won? How does he go from the 206 electoral votes that Romney won to 270? Where does he steal the 64 electoral votes he needs? Do you even realize that all she has to do is win Wisconsin and she wins the election? That means Trump could win Ohio, Florida, North Carolina, Iowa, Georgia, Arizona, Nevada, South Carolina and Missouri and still lose the election.

    Keep dreaming.
     

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