50,000 Could Drown in New Orleans

Discussion in 'The Tiger's Den' started by Bengal B, Sep 15, 2004.

  1. MarineTiger

    MarineTiger Founding Member

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    I am curious to see how much of a storm surge Ivan will cause now
     
  2. locoguano

    locoguano Founding Member

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    they talk about a direct hit but that isnt quite true. for new orleans to have this dooms day scenario, the storm would have to hit directly east of new orleans, so that the storm surge would enter the lake and the winds would push the water south onto the city. ive often wondered, what do you do when a whole city is destroyed? is it worth it to try and recover the city when it could jsut happen again, and the city is sinking anyway. interesting questions to pose...
     
  3. red55

    red55 curmudgeon Staff Member

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    Here are some Hurricane Ivan storm surge projections the guys at the LSU Hurricane Center are working on.

    Experimental Storm Surge Modeling

    It doesn't look good for Point a la Hache.
     
  4. ramah

    ramah Founding Member

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    Wrong ... Wrong ... Wrong ... not east ... east is good

    The killer scenario comes when the eyewall passes just west of N.O. ... a hurricane spins counterclockwise in the Northern hemisphere ... east on the edge of the eye is where the most horrific winds are ... and the most damage occurs
     
  5. TigerKid05

    TigerKid05 Say Whaa!?!?

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    Man, what people will write to get attention is stupid.

    A: If NOLA were to get hit directly, 50,000 people would not be in the city
    B: These media people think NOLA is coming to be hit by surprise.

    Everybody will be fine if they follow through with an evacuation and for the people who have to stay, I'm sur they know how to deal with the situation. Another, I haven't once heard any mention of Hurricane Andrew hitting Louisiana. That was a hard hit.
     
  6. locoguano

    locoguano Founding Member

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    yes, but if it hit west of new orleans, the wind pushes the water north to the north shore.. if it hits east of new olreans, the wind is blowing south and pushes the wind into the city.
     
  7. ledfoot

    ledfoot Founding Member

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    the weather channel reported 45 ft waves just 60miles out of NO. The way the gulf shelf is shaped around NO,(less than 250ft deep) the storm surge will ride up on the shallow shelf. Around Pensacola and Mobile the gulf shelf is deep close to land so they're going to get less of a storm surge.
     
  8. Swerved

    Swerved It appears my hypocrisy knows no bounds.

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    Yes, I agree with what you say about the situation pertaining to New Orleans, but actually....

    The worst side of a hurricane in the northern hemisphere depends on the direction in which the storm is moving... (i.e. the "right" side of the storm in relation to the direction it moves....)... It works like this...

    If the storm moves north, then the eastern side is the worst.
    If the storm moves west, then the northern side is the worst.
    If the storm is moving east, then the south side is the worst.
    If the storm is moving south then the west side is the worst...

    From NOAA...

    Here's a link...

    http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/tcfaq/D6.html

    So, it depends on which direction a hurricane would hit New Orleans from. If one were to come from east-southeast to west-northwest and hit just below the city like around the mouth of the Mississippi (Which I admit isn't likely), it would be as bad as one comming up from the south and hitting just west of New Orleans...
     

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