Even a team like UL-L averages about 2 stars. So to say a team with 1 and 2 star players would be one of the worst Div I schools out there talent wise. Averaging 3.5 stars puts you in the top 10 in recruiting rankings. I would say about a 35-45 point favorite.
When Iowa played South Carolina in the OutBack last year, I took the time to go through the rivals recruiting classes for both schools (going back 5 years to account for redshirts). Now, although it wasn't all that accurate as I didn't account for players who might have quit, transferred, etc, I counted 32 South Carolina recruits with a four star rating or better. Iowa, in the same time frame had 14. Iowa 31, South Carolina 10. What a kid looks like when he's a 17 year old recruit and what he looks like coming out of a good conditioning program three years later can be night and day.
I'm guessing 3 or 4 touchdowns. I have a feeling that the star ratings may have more effect on the OL & DL lines. This is where games are won or lost anyway. I mean Colston for the Saints was considered real slow and therefore only a 7th round pick but sure is good. If you have a high star rating on one of the big guys though it probably means he is also fast & agile which is pretty rare. Probably why Miles converts a lot of DL's to OL's due to the extra agility & speed.
Ok, so most of you answered how I expected you would. Some of you brought up the variables before I really wanted, but thats ok. Here's my thought. Most fans expect/perceive that the USC, OU, UF, UT, LSU of the college football world are going to blow out the Toledo, ULL, UW, BG, UNLV, SDSU of college football. Well the variables are the difference makers. Intensity being a big one and coaching going without saying. Many college fans have been left scratching their heads this season wondering why their powerhouse team didn't take some lessor team to the woodshed. Well rest assured all of these great coachs have not forgotten how to coach the great talent they have. These teams, LSU in particular, will show how dominant they are.