This post from the Arkansas AOL board sums up the general level of overconfidence that's going on over there: <<< If the people in Little Rock have to put out extra security over just a goalpost then the Razorbacks shouldnt play anymore games in Little Rock... I was sad to hear today about the extra security at War Memorial Stadium because of Arkansas fans taking down the goalpost... This really upsets me... atleast in Fayetteville they'd let us take the goalpost down... >>> There you have it - LSU has no chance against Arkansas. After all, Arkansas has won all 13 games it's played under Nutt in Little Rock. After all, Arkansas has won 5 game in a row. After all, Arkansas played better against Auburn than LSU did. After all, Arkansas' players want it so bad they can taste it. Yet: The combined record of the teams Arkansas has beaten in Little Rock over the past 5 years is just a few games over .500, and half of those teams were weaker OOC teams. Arkansas, presently unranked, has beaten 3 SEC teams (Ole Miss, USC, and MSU) during their current 5 game winning streak that haven't won a SEC game since Oct. 12. These same three teams are a combined 0-13 in their last 13 SEC games, and 5-17 in the league overall. Arkansas lost at Kentucky (a team LSU beat), lost badly to Alabama (as did LSU), but beat Auburn (a team LSU lost dismally to). Arkansas has also beaten #124 Sagarin-ranked UL-L and #135 Sagarin ranked Troy State in its last 5 games (I refer to Sagarin only because he's one of the few who tries to rank teams that low on the chart). My best guess is Arkansas fan's overconfidence comes from how their team performed vs. Auburn compared to how LSU did, and how LSU has had trouble scoring points recently. This is what's leading to the blowout scores they are predicting Friday. That LSU has one of the best defenses in the country has been ignored. That every LSU starter has a SEC Championship ring ( most of whom contributed during LSU's SECCG victory) is ignored. That Arkansas had to hold on for victory last week against MSU & their backup QB is ignored. That Arkansas needed a last-second goal line INT to beat one of the worst teams in Division 1-A two weeks ago (UL-L) is ignored. That after the UL-L game, UL-L's head coach said, "I don't feel like we lost this football game. I think the time ran out on us. I think we had them going, had them in a disarray and had a good play call there at the end," is ignored. The last time a team predicted scores vs. LSU on the level of what Arkansas fans are doing now was the Florida game. Of course, Florida fans had seen LSU's offense struggle vs. Virginia Tech, and to a lesser extent vs. MSU, so their average prediction of a 18 point blowout was warranted, wasn't it? When LSU won 36-7 that day, it was one of the most impressive victories in the SEC this year, and one of the worst losses Florida has suffered at Florida Field in years, the week after Florida had lost to Ole Miss and was supposed to get back on the winning track by whipping up on LSU. LSU just had no chance that day. Yet Matt Mauck, starting his 6th career game, played well enough to help LSU win. As Marcus Randall plays in his 6th SEC game in a row this Friday (and his 5th start overall, should he start), he and his team have nothing to lose once again. After all, if you talk to Arkansas fans, they've either already bought their SECCG tickets, predicted nothing less than a 16 point victory (their average prediction this week), predicted that the Arkansas D may shut LSU out, and are angry that they may not get to tear down the goalposts because security will be tight. We can only hope their team is as overconfident as their fans, though I doubt it seriously. We'll see you in 2 days.