Bass to make final decision on Friday. Doesn't look good

Discussion in 'The Tiger's Den' started by GMoney2600, May 10, 2005.

  1. gzilla

    gzilla Founding Member

    It's evident that Bass would rather not return. The unfortunate thing is if he declares for the draft, he very well might be picked in the 2nd round. I'd put the chances at 50/50.

    But, the aspect that few are talking about is this new age rule. If Bass stays and they institute this rule, then Bass will have MUCH less competition coming out next year. His draft position would be much better, even if he doesn't improve his play.

    My prediction is he'll declare for the draft. If he does, I really hope he's drafted in round 1...but I don't think he will be.
     
  2. red55

    red55 curmudgeon Staff Member

    It all depends on what Bass really wants. And who knows?

    1. If he wants his number to hang up there with Pettit, Maravich, and O'Neal, he will play another year, maybe two and become a consensus All-American and a superstar with a championship ring.

    2. If he wants the maximum dollars out of his pro career he will wait one more year and move from the upper 2nd round to the upper 1st round. This will be worth many millions in a long pro career.

    3. If he wants a change, or he needs money right now, or he worries about injuries, or he thinks his projection is low, . . . then he walks.

    If it were me, I do #1 and #2. Superstar college career followed by a superstar pro career like those other guys. But I think Bass may do #3 and be content with a contract for the NBA minmum salary of close to a $million. It's the safe bet.
     
  3. gzilla

    gzilla Founding Member

    Red,

    Do you really think it's a safe bet if he comes out? I think it's 50/50 as to whether he'll be a #1 draft pick.
     
  4. MikeD

    MikeD Sports Genius

    Randolph Morris of UK entered the draft yesterday. That's just another player that plays the same position as Bass that he will be competing against if he enters the draft. I think Bass is a better player and would take him over Morris anyday but Morris is 6'10" 250 and NBA guys like bigger bodies.

    Incidentally, I don't think Bass will improve his draft stock much more even if he does play another year unless he plays the 3 exclusively, something I don't see happening with Tasmin Mitchell coming in. Unless he grows another couple of inches or gets a much better handle, he'll be in that late 1st early 2nd position. He'll have to earn his spot on an NBA roster and won't be handed anything, but I think he will be successful at that, similar to Ronald Dupree with the Bulls and Pistons.

    The one wild card that could really boost his draft position, as someone mentioned, is if the NBA goes with the 20 year old age limit. If he stays and the rule is enacted, it would be a great thing for Bass.
     
  5. NoLimitMD

    NoLimitMD Founding Member

    I respect his decision, either way and wish him well. But this just reeks of a Trev Faulk situation.
     
  6. red55

    red55 curmudgeon Staff Member

    It's a safe bet for getting an NBA contract and having a very fat paycheck next month versus possibly getting injured next year and not getting drafted at all, like Ben Wilkerson. Even if he doesn't make the first round, he'll still get a contract. The minimum salary in the NBA for a rookie is 385,000 and Bass is likely to do mch better than that.

    The upper half of the first round will average $1.5 to 3.5 million--the lower half $700,000 to 1.5 million. An upper second round pick will make 500,000 to 700,000.

    Say he signs a five-year contract at the NBA minimum (which is a sliding scale) he would earn $3,165,461. Not bad for a 20-year old if he wants some big money right away.

    But if Bass stays and finishes in the top five picks next year at, say $2.1 million, then after five years he would have earned $10,500,000. So if he goes early it may cost him $7.4 million!
     
  7. G_MAN113

    G_MAN113 Founding Member

    He may want to get an early jump on working on that second contract though, Red. You know, the next contract is where the truly big bucks come into play, because by then you're established. If Brandon feels like he can make a NBA roster right now, then he'll be playing for that big deal all the sooner.

    That having been said, with all the talent in this draft, and the number of quality players at the 4 position who have declared, I think it's conceivable that Brandon might just slip through the cracks and go undrafted this year if he takes the risk. Then he's stuck taking the free agent route for the best deal he can get.
     
  8. LSUweezie

    LSUweezie Founding Member

    G MAN
    If you get picked in the second round there is no guaranteed contract. Rookies can't sign five year deals the max they can sign for is three years.
     
  9. tirk

    tirk im the lyrical jessie james

    i agree with mike-d. he is still a 'tweener if he comes back another year which likely won't increase his stock overall very much barring a sudden 4 inch growth spurt. his skills may become a bit more polished yet its not going to differentiate him enough to really skyrocket his stock.

    he is what he is. it just comes down to a specific team falling in love with him in particular.
     
  10. G_MAN113

    G_MAN113 Founding Member

    You must have misunderstood what I was saying. I never said anything about rookies signing 5-year deals or guaranteed contracts in the second round. All I was implying is that if Brandon feels like he can make an NBA roster, he may want to do it now, so that the next contract he signs will get here sooner. In other words, he may want to start working towards that NOW rather than next year.
     

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