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Could be another wet Saturday..........

Discussion in 'The Tiger's Den' started by ScottyB28, Oct 1, 2007.

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ScottyB28 Founding Member

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From Jeff Master's Blog on WeatherUnderground.com

Heavy thunderstorms are firing up over South Florida and the nearby waters, thanks to an upper-level low pressure system interacting with an old front. Long range radar out of Miami shows that this activity is disorganized. This morning's QuikSCAT pass showed some rotation in the surface winds over the Central Bahamas, but with wind shear 20-30 knots over the region, no development is likely today. Most of the computer models forecast that wind shear will fall, and a tropical or subtropical depression will form by Wednesday near the Florida Keys, eastern Gulf of Mexico, or western Cuba. There is a strong upper-level low pressure system just southwest of Florida (Figure 1), and water vapor satellite loops show that this low is pulling plenty of dry, continental air from North America southward over the Gulf of Mexico. The upper low is expected to move southwestward. This is a situation very similar to the one that spawned Subtropical Depression Ten in September, off the Gulf Coast of Florida. In that case, the subtropical depression formed right underneath the upper level low, making for a very slow transition phase to a tropical system. It took two days for Subtropical Depression Ten to become Tropical Depression Ten, and the storm ran out of time to intensify into a tropical storm before moving ashore over the Florida Panhandle. This time, the GFS model is supporting formation of a subtropical depression to the northeast of the upper low. This situation would potentially allow a faster conversion of the subtropical storm to a tropical storm. The UKMET and Canadian model predict that a fully tropical storm will form, instead. I think a subtropical storm is more likely.

Any storm that forms is forecast to move west-northwestward across the Gulf of Mexico, pushed by a strong ridge of high pressure expected to build in. An upper-level anticyclone aloft is expected to develop as well, providing an environment favorable for intensification. However, intensification will be slowed by the presence of all the dry air dragged into the Gulf of Mexico by the upper low, and by the transition of the storm from subtropical to tropical. The models project a landfall in Texas or Louisiana on Friday or Saturday. The Hurricane Hunters are on call to fly into this system Tuesday afternoon, if necessary.
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ScottyB28, Oct 1, 2007

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orlandotiger GEAUX TIGERS!

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Watch your mouth!!!:grin:

orlandotiger, Oct 1, 2007

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ScottyB28 Founding Member

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I know, it kills me. Here's the updated models as of 2pm. Looks good so far.

ScottyB28, Oct 1, 2007

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Sourdoughman TigerFan of LSU and the Tigerman

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Keep in mind that also affects Tim Tivo and the Gators.
Wet weather will slow Tivo down just like our defense.:thumb:

Sourdoughman, Oct 1, 2007

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G-LSU Founding Member

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We can find out if Tebow is a Mudder.....

:geauxtige :geauxtige
:geauxtige :geauxtige

G-LSU, Oct 1, 2007

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ScottyB28 Founding Member

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Sourdoughman said: ↑

Keep in mind that also affects Tim Tivo and the Gators.
Wet weather will slow Tivo down just like our defense.:thumb:
Click to expand...

I realize that, but I just want it to be nice for a Saturday.

ScottyB28, Oct 1, 2007

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RedElephants Founding Member

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Honestly, who do you guys think has the edge in wet weather?

RedElephants, Oct 1, 2007

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ScottyB28 Founding Member

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RedElephants said: ↑

Honestly, who do you guys think has the edge in wet weather?
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I think we win in any kind of weather. We're in Tiger Stadium.

ScottyB28, Oct 1, 2007

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paducahmichael Tiger Band Class of '73

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We used to say "Tigers have webbed feet" when it came to playing on a wet field. I know Mike VI likes playing with his ball in the lagoon.....

I think the Tigers will do just fine - wet or dry. ldskule:

paducahmichael, Oct 1, 2007

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bhelmLSU Founding Member Staff Member

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RedElephants said: ↑

Honestly, who do you guys think has the edge in wet weather?
Click to expand...

We both started the season on the road in poor weather and handled business. I think UF's game had an hour delay toward the end of the game.

LSU went up against a sound SC defense in Tiger Stadium 2 weekends ago and handled business.

Defense will strive in the poor conditions and LSU's is better. LSU can focus more on stopping Tebow up the middle. LSU has more depth and skill at the RB position to grind it out if need be.

Advantage LSU!

bhelmLSU, Oct 1, 2007

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