Latest poll has Kasich beating Hillary by 16 whopping points (51 to 35). I really think the fix will be on to get Kasich to be the nominee. Trump is absolutely correct in calling Cruz a Trojan Horse.
it just goes to show that I hold my opinion in very high regard.....if no one is listening just say it again and louder until they do....LOL...have no idea how I did that
Latest numbers: Trump 755 Cruz 545 769 more delegates remaining. Trump needs 482 (62.7 %). Predictions New York 95 of 95 (850, needs 387 of 674, 57.4 %) Connecticut 28 of 28 (878, needs 359 of 646, 55.5 %) Delaware 16 of 16 (894, needs 343 of 630, 54.4 %) Maryland 32 of 38 (926, needs 311 of 592, 52.5 %) Pennsylvania 71 of 71 (997, needs 240 of 521, 46.1 %) Rhode Island 19 of 19 (1016, needs 221 of 502, 44.0 %) Indiana 9 of 57 (1025, needs 212 of 445, 47.6 %) Nebraska 0 of 36 (1025, needs 212 of 409, 51.8 %) W. Virginia 12 of 34 (1037, needs 200 of 375, 53.3 %) Oregon 14 of 28 (1051, needs 186 of 347, 53.6 %) Washington 20 of 44 (1071, needs 166 of 303, 54.8 %) Montana 0 of 27 (1071, needs 166 of 276, 60.1 %) New Jersey 51 of 51 (1122, needs 115 of 225, 51.1 %) New Mexico 12 of 24 (1134, needs 103 of 201, 51.2 %) South Dakota 0 of 29 (1134, needs 103 of 172, 59.9 %) California 102 of 172 (1236, falls 1 short) Trump would need to win 31 of 53 congressional districts (3 delegates each) in California plus the statewide vote (10 delegate bonus for that). There are 3 predetermined delegates by state party members, of which I predicted Trump would get 2. The 3rd person would prevent Trump from being the outright nominee in the scenario I just presented. If Trump can win either Nebraska, South Dakota or Montana, the road to 1237 is almost guaranteed, as he would need much less than 50 percent of the delegates coming out of California (between 66-75 of the 172 up for grabs). Bottom line, Trump comes up within 50 of the mark or barely gets past 1237. Either way, Trump's army will demand he be the nominee at the convention. The Cruz gestapo machine will be set to take the nomination on subsequent ballots as they have had a huge jump start on that part of the process over Trump.
There's no question about that. The GOPe just ran the blade from ear to ear. Suicide. We can get used to seeing stuff just like this:
Right as he said "you're toast", you can hear the AOL IM sound from one of his underage girls he's been chatting with. Crazy timing, huh?
If primaries go like that in the next 6, Cruz is Mathematically Elimated on April 26 of achieving the 1237. Of course he'll still give victory speeches after 6 consecutive loses, like he did after losing 6 straight on Super Tuesday II. Oh well, guess he can steal votes later. His God musta told him to steal.
Indiana is a wildcard right now. Trump's surge heading into Indiana could lead him to victory there. The delegate allocation is a bit convoluted, but essentially even if you win by just a few points, you could end up with roughly 45 of the 57 delegates. I have him losing to Cruz there, but it will be close most likely. A big win there by Trump, and the rest is history.
