It looks like the Republicans have about 49 Senate seats secured headed into the 2022 election and the Dems have 47, which leaves four toss up races to determine the balance of the Senate. Those four races are Kelly(D) vs. Doucey(R) in AZ, where it looks like Kelly has a slight lead of 2-3 points; Warnock(D) vs. Walker(R) in GA, where it looks like Walker is currently polling a few points ahead; Feterman(D) vs. Oz(R) in PA to fill Pat Toomey's seat because he is retiring where Feterman seems to be a few points ahead in polling; Cortez Masto(D) vs. Lexalt(R) in NV where the polling has been about even but all of the polls are old. Honestly, it's still much to early to rely on polling but if I were a betting man right now I'd lay odds on Democrats winning three out of those four to leave the Senate tied at 50-50 with Harris casting the tie-breaking vote. Still a long way to go and much will depend upon the state of things on election day. For the House I fully expect the Republicans to retake it. I don't how long this has held true but most of the time the President's party does not retain control of the House after their first two years. Ask Obama and Trump about it. That said, it appears that Democrats have started more extreme gerrymandering to counter the same tactic from Republicans so I expect that they will gain 20-25 seats and hold a similar majority as what the Dems have now.
I'm in a new US Congressional district. Look how kickass it looks now! It was way better than the boring previous one that looks almost like it is a box that includes everything in it. The new one has imagination. I am voting with people in Sulfur Springs (70 miles away) but with no one in between. It is like a Dallas suburb and a small East Texas town have everything in common. That is the kind of imagination we need.
good article.... https://www.politico.com/news/2022/...or-lead-gop-charge-to-flip-the-house-00006300 Elections Women, candidates of color lead GOP charge to flip the House There are more female and Hispanic Republicans running for office than ever before, according to the House GOP campaign arm.
Elon Musk buying Twitter six months before the next election will definitely change the landscape of online political discourse. The Democrats’s greatest weapon is now owned by the lord of memes. Let the shitposting commence!
What we can and will have is a massive "covid" outbreak. I don't need to see "the movie" because I knew from the start. Now that the cat is out of the bag the left has to do something to cheat again
We are halfway through primary season. The current tally is 32 Dems and 18 Repubs retiring from the house, with a further 3 dems and 5 repub incumbents losing their primary. A mere 13.3% turnover rate in the house so far. It's so hard to unseat an incumbent. And so many of them are boomers who refuse to just go the hell away. I live in a democrat district and I will not be voting for the incumbent. What about you?
in case you were wondering how the left is working to “steal” the midterms… https://t.co/7Xj3OgrtSY Biden’s Illegal Election Hail Mary Might Still Be Intercepted Inflation is at a 40-year high, an economic recession may be just around the corner, the president’s approval rating is plummeting, and the 2022 midterm elections are less than four months away. Desperate times call for desperate measures, right? At least, that must be what the Biden administration is thinking. Why else would a U.S. president launch a thinly veiled get-out-the-vote campaign designed to give the Democrats an electoral advantage? The president’s plan was outlined in Executive Order 14019, which ultimately directs all federal agencies to do what they can to increase voter registration and turnout, including by working with a select group of third-party organizations “approved” by the White House. Sounds harmless on its face, until you consider the fact that it is being carried out by political appointees whose job security literally depends on Democrats being reelected in 2022 and 2024, and that the person charged with collecting the plans and leading this effort is President Joe Biden’s domestic policy advisor, Susan Rice. Even more concerning, when pressed for more information about these plans through Freedom of Information Act (FOIA) requests from the Foundation for Government Accountability, the Biden administration has opted to stay silent. If the plans are harmless, why not share them with Congress and the American people? It makes you wonder what they’re hiding. But even without the details publicly outlined, it’s not difficult to see what the executive order hopes to accomplish. By interjecting the might of the federal government — and all of its taxpayer-funded offices and resources — into the state-run voter registration process, the Biden administration hopes to drive out the Democrat vote in both the midterm elections and for generations to come. We’ve seen a similar scheme once before. Mark Zuckerberg and his wife funneled millions of dollars to state and local election officials for the administration of the 2020 election. And as it turns out, the vast majority of those dollars were spent in localities that ultimately voted for Joe Biden. The not-so-secret attempt to drive out Democrat votes through a targeted distribution of resources was seen as highly unethical. And thanks to a flurry of new laws passed in more than 20 states, it is now also illegal across much of the country. Yet now, these so-called “Zuckerbucks” have proven to be just a precursor to an even larger scheme: the president’s use of “Bidenbucks” — the use of taxpayer dollars to meet the same end. Scheme Already Underway Sadly, the scheme is already underway. Several federal agencies have initiated plans to designate their state offices as voting registration agencies, including the U.S. Department of Labor’s 2,300 American Job Centers. But it’s imperative that these centers remain non-partisan — free from even the appearance of becoming “vote mills” that churn out political support in exchange for work. The same should go for the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, which has also announced plans to designate Public Housing Agencies as voting registration agencies. “Votes in exchange for benefits” should not be the slogan of any federal agency. Court Orders the Administration to Release Info There is good news, though. The Biden administration’s plans have not gone unnoticed. The Foundation for Government Accountability has filed a lawsuit to compel the U.S. Department of Justice to respond to our initial FOIA requests. Last week, the Federal District Court ordered the DOJ to provide us all requested documents required under the FOIA request before the midterm elections. Also, legislation has recently been introduced in the U.S. House of Representatives to prevent the Biden administration’s plans to take over state-run elections from moving forward. The legislation, introduced by Rep. Ted Budd, R-N.C., would prohibit federal agencies from using federal funding to carry out any plans to comply with the president’s order to use the immense resources of federal agencies and their state offices to carry out an unprecedented get-out-the-vote effort designed to benefit the left. It will also prohibit agencies from partnering with politically like-minded outside groups hand-selected by Susan Rice to carry out Executive Order 14019. While it’s unlikely that it would become law before the upcoming election, this legislation is an important step toward ensuring our elections are free, fair, and secured against unconstitutional influence — in this case, from the White House itself. President Biden may be feeling the pressure build as his economic policies have continued to fall flat with the American people, but that does not justify an illegal executive power grab to attempt to keep his party, and himself, in control. And executive branch attempts to systematically affect elections for generations to come must be stopped at both the state and federal level. Tarren Bragdon is president and CEO of the Foundation for Government Accountability.
Update on where we stand for the mid-term elections. Republicans are still solidly expected to retake the House and at this point I think we can consider that a given. By how much is debatable as Democrats have taken the lead over Republicans on a generic ballot. Right now I expect a 20 seat change. The Senate is a different story as poor candidates seem to be dooming Republicans in a lot of races that were considered up for grabs. Currently, Republicans have 47 seats that are either not up for election or where they have a heavy advantage. The Democrats have 46 seats by those same metrics. That leaves the following races to decide the fate of the next Senate: AZ Kelly-D leads Masters-R by 8.3% GA Warnock-D leads Walker-R by 2.7% NC Beasley-D leads Budd-R by 0.1% and this one is trending toward D's OH Ryan-D leads Vance by 1.2% PA Fetterman-D leads Oz by 11.5% WI Barnes-D leads Johnson-R by 5.5% NV Cortez-Masto-D leads Lexalt-R by 1.5% These are average of polls from fivethirtyeight.com. If this unfolds this way we could see a Senate that is 53-47 and Schumer retains the gavel.
