Question marks on every game. People say this about their home team bc they know too much and get confused with information overload. And their biases jade them. You know 1000x more about these 2 teams than any others. With that said I think the total should be right around 50 but that's just a guess. I was thinking 48ish. It's going over. Line is now 11.5
No, but I was astounded that Bama, who was averaging 38 points a game at the time was held to 6. At home.
History says no. Trends and history are a losers fallacy in this world however. Motivation is the best determinant to judge and this is les and the boys Super Bowl this year. He's going all out. Will his predicted trick plays and wide open offense pay off? Tough call when you have the crazy one behind the wheel.
I would think trends is how you bet. I don't bet, so I have no idea. But that is what I would base it on if I were to do it. I would think there are pay sites out there that are paid to dig up trending data for gamblers. Here is an article on gambling using soccer as an example: http://www.bsports.com/statsinsights/football/can-past-predict-future-football
Hypothetically, if you found out LSU has beaten the spread the last 12 times when coming off a bye week, would you take that into account? Or would you throw that out, and simply base your bet on what you have seen on the field this year, and more importantly in the very recent past?
I'd counter with it's important to have a healthy mix. UGA vs UF is the first example that comes to mind. I took the under (got it at 47) on the belief that there would be enough personal foul type penalties in the game to throw UGA off its scoring average. Wouldn't that be a trend? Take Arkansas and their run defense. It gave reason to take Auburn giving nine when weighed against Auburn's rushing attack (with numbers boosted by poor run defenses faced.) Stat. There's personal observations mixed in with both of those.
