I guess if their loss is big enough, like 51-22, then Auburn could conveivably fall about 10 spots in the rankings to about 15th. LSU move up to about 10, we got us a 5 spot spread at that point in the human polls. Then the Arkansas game adds to our human/computer poll positions. It's somewhat conceivable that we finish 6 spots ahead.
We could be behind Arkansas, actually, just so Auburn is 3rd in the BCS rankings. Then they would use head to head between LSU and Arkansas.
I know the whole scenario re: BCS will be more clear as the weeks go by. I hear some of you say that you want Tennessee to beat Arky today. But haven't I been hearing/reading that it's better for LSU if Arky wins out until they play the Tigers? What is the best deal for LSU? I need to know who to pull for today (and in the next couple of weeks. Thanks. Bob
Bob, Arkansas hasn't lost a league game yet.. we need them to lose a league game before we play them nov 25th..
Here's what I would like to see: Tennessee in a classic game wins over Arkansas. Arkansas stays ahead of Auburn in the rankings. Tennessee stays behind LSU in the rankings after LSU bombs BAMA. Sound good? LSU could be 5 spots ahead of Auburn in the polls...something like this 1) Ohio State 2) Michigan 3) Texas 4) Florida 5) USC 6) Notre Dame 7) California 8) Rutgers 9) Louisville 10) West Virginia 11) LSU 12) Tennessee 12) Boise State 13) Wisconsin 14) Oklahoma 15) Arkansas 16) Auburn That is about the best we can hope for. LSU will be right on the heels of Louisville, Rutgers and WVU. LSU will probably be 3-4 spots ahead of Auburn in the computer polls on average. So the overall margin would be about 4-5 spots in the BCS, I would guess.
Some food for thought: In general, the computer polls look a lot more favorably upon road losses vs home losses. Auburn's 2 losses are at home by rather wide margins (17 and 22 points) while LSU's 2 are away by much narrower (4 and 13 points).
Why are you guys jumping to the 8th tie-breaker (assuming Auburn, LSU, and Arkansas finish with 2 SEC losses)? Wouldn't rule #3 let Auburn get to the SECC? "3. Record of the tied teams within the division." Auburn has lost two SEC games, but to two teams in the East. They are (currently) undefeated in the West, and if they beat Bama they'll remain so. LSU, if they beat Bama and Arkansas, will have one loss in the West. Arkansas will have one loss (to LSU) in the West.
