lsu-i-like's Top 25%

Discussion in 'The Tiger's Den' started by lsu-i-like, Sep 9, 2006.

  1. lsu-i-like

    lsu-i-like Playoff advocate

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    I've created my own computer ranking system. As you probably know, computer polls don't really work until a number of games have been played, so I've decided to use numbers from last season to give a temporary starting point until this season's numbers can stand on their own. I'll be posting the top 25% of the 119 1A teams (~30 teams) and giving the corresponding AP ranking in brackets. Hopefully I'll have time to update weekly during the season.

    Preseason 2006
    me AP
    01 03 0-0 Texas
    02 06 0-0 USC
    03 01 0-0 Ohio St
    04 19 0-0 Penn St
    05 05 0-0 W Virginia
    06 17 0-0 Virginia Tech
    07 21 0-0 Oregon
    08 08 0-0 LSU
    09 02 0-0 Notre Dame
    10 26 0-0 Alabama
    11 15 0-0 Georgia
    12 22 0-0 TCU
    13 07 0-0 Florida
    14 04 0-0 Auburn
    15 10 0-0 Oklahoma
    16 00 0-0 UCLA
    17 12 0-0 Miami Florida
    18 28 0-0 Boston College
    19 31 0-0 Wisconsin
    20 14 0-0 Michigan
    21 25 0-0 Texas Tech
    22 13 0-0 Louisville
    23 20 0-0 Nebraska
    24 00 0-0 Minnesota
    25 00 0-0 Northwestern
    26 11 0-0 Florida St
    27 16 0-0 Iowa
    28 29 0-0 Georgia Tech
    29 18 0-0 Clemson
    30 24 0-0 Arizona St
    xxx
    32 09 0-0 California
    42 23 0-0 Tennessee
    62 27 0-0 Utah
    41 30 0-0 Boise St
    59 31 0-0 Arkansas
    31 33 0-0 S Carolina
    35 34 0-0 Tulsa
    48 35 0-0 Texas A&M
    43 36 0-0 Purdue
    55 36 0-0 UTEP
    57 36 0-0 BYU
    37 39 0-0 Iowa St
    64 39 0-0 N Illinois
    95 39 0-0 Ole Miss
    36 42 0-0 Michigan St
    80 43 0-0 Arizona
     
  2. lsu-i-like

    lsu-i-like Playoff advocate

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    09/02/2006
    me +/- AP
    01 +00 02 1-0 Texas
    02 +00 03 1-0 USC
    03 +00 01 1-0 Ohio St
    04 +00 19 1-0 Penn St
    05 +00 06 1-0 W Virginia
    06 +00 16 1-0 Virginia Tech
    07 +00 20 1-0 Oregon
    08 +06 04 1-0 Auburn
    09 -01 08 1-0 LSU
    10 +00 26 1-0 Alabama
    11 -02 04 1-0 Notre Dame
    12 +03 15 1-0 Oklahoma
    13 -01 23 1-0 TCU
    14 -03 12 1-0 Georgia
    15 -02 07 1-0 Florida
    16 +06 13 1-0 Louisville
    17 -01 28 1-0 UCLA
    18 -01 17 0-1 Miami Florida
    19 +02 24 1-0 Texas Tech
    20 -02 32 1-0 Boston College
    21 -02 27 1-0 Wisconsin
    22 -02 10 1-0 Michigan
    23 +00 21 1-0 Nebraska
    24 +01 00 1-0 Northwestern
    25 +10 36 1-0 Tulsa
    26 +00 09 1-0 Florida St
    27 +00 14 1-0 Iowa
    28 -04 00 1-0 Minnesota
    29 +05 00 1-0 N Carolina St
    30 +03 00 1-0 Kansas
    xxx
    45 -03 11 1-0 Tennessee
    32 -03 18 1-0 Clemson
    48 -16 22 0-1 California
    31 -01 25 1-0 Arizona St
    41 -13 29 0-1 Georgia Tech
    33 +08 30 1-0 Boise St
    36 -05 31 1-0 S Carolina
    39 +09 32 1-0 Texas A&M
    44 +24 34 1-0 Pittsburgh
    46 -03 34 1-0 Purdue
    34 +32 36 1-0 Rutgers
    68 +12 38 1-0 Arizona
    38 +07 39 1-0 Missouri
    42 +04 39 1-0 Fresno St
    47 +08 41 1-0 UTEP
     
  3. Scoop43

    Scoop43 Founding Member

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    I'll volunteer my computer weighted ranking per CFN preseason.

    Pre-Season 2006 by College Football News (Weighted)

    1 Texas
    2 Ohio State
    3 Miami
    4 Southern Cal
    5 Auburn
    6 Louisiana State
    7 Oklahoma
    8 California
    9 Florida
    10 Tennessee
    11 Michigan
    12 Florida State
    13 Clemson
    14 Nebraska
    15 Virginia Tech
    16 Louisville
    17 West Virginia
    18 Notre Dame
    19 Penn State
    20 Georgia
    21 Iowa
    22 Georgia Tech
    23 Arizona State
    24 Missouri
    25 Alabama
    26 Colorado
    27 Texas Tech
    28 Michigan State
    29 Iowa State
    30 Arkansas
    31 Arizona
    32 Boise State
     
  4. lsu-i-like

    lsu-i-like Playoff advocate

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    09/09/2006
    01 +01 04 1-0 USC
    02 +01 01 2-0 Ohio St
    03 -02 08 1-1 Texas
    04 +01 05 2-0 W Virginia
    05 +06 02 2-0 Notre Dame
    06 +07 20 2-0 TCU
    07 +01 03 2-0 Auburn
    08 +07 07 2-0 Florida
    09 -03 14 2-0 Virginia Tech
    10 -03 18 2-0 Oregon
    11 -02 06 2-0 LSU
    12 +04 12 2-0 Louisville
    13 +01 10 2-0 Georgia
    14 -02 15 2-0 Oklahoma
    15 -11 25 1-1 Penn St
    16 +01 29 2-0 UCLA
    17 +16 27 2-0 Boise St
    18 +02 23 2-0 Boston College
    19 +25 33 2-0 Pittsburgh
    20 +06 09 2-0 Florida St
    21 +01 11 2-0 Michigan
    22 -01 32 2-0 Wisconsin
    23 -04 24 2-0 Texas Tech
    24 -14 28 2-0 Alabama
    25 -07 17 1-1 Miami Florida
    26 -03 19 2-0 Nebraska
    27 +11 35 2-0 Missouri
    28 +02 00 2-0 Kansas
    29 +02 22 2-0 Arizona St
    30 +04 31 2-0 Rutgers
    xxx
    31 +14 13 2-0 Tennessee
    32 -05 16 2-0 Iowa
    40 +08 21 1-1 California
    43 -11 26 1-1 Clemson
    39 +02 29 1-1 Georgia Tech
    38 +01 33 2-0 Texas A&M
    54 -08 36 2-0 Purdue
     
  5. lsu-i-like

    lsu-i-like Playoff advocate

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    09/16/2006
    01 +00 03 2-0 USC
    02 +00 01 3-0 Ohio St
    03 +00 07 2-1 Texas
    04 +00 04 3-0 W Virginia
    05 +02 02 3-0 Auburn
    06 +00 16 3-0 TCU
    07 +02 11 3-0 Virginia Tech
    08 +05 09 3-0 Georgia
    09 -01 05 3-0 Florida
    10 +11 06 3-0 Michigan
    11 +01 08 3-0 Louisville
    12 +12 26 3-0 Alabama
    13 -03 13 3-0 Oregon
    14 +04 20 3-0 Boston College
    15 -10 12 2-1 Notre Dame
    16 -05 10 2-1 LSU
    17 +00 25 3-0 Boise St
    18 -04 17 2-1 Oklahoma
    19 +03 31 3-0 Wisconsin
    20 -05 24 2-1 Penn St
    21 +02 34 2-1 Texas Tech
    22 -06 29 2-0 UCLA
    23 +07 28 3-0 Rutgers
    24 +06 14 3-0 Iowa
    25 +04 22 3-0 Arizona St
    26 +00 23 2-1 Nebraska
    27 +00 32 3-0 Missouri
    28 +03 15 2-1 Tennessee
    29 -10 00 2-1 Pittsburgh
    30 +05 00 3-0 Navy
    xxx
    36 -16 18 2-1 Florida St
    34 +09 19 2-1 Clemson
    38 +02 21 2-1 California
    31 -06 27 1-2 Miami Florida
    35 +26 30 3-0 Michigan St
    39 +00 33 2-1 Georgia Tech
    40 -02 35 3-0 Texas A&M
    41 +13 36 3-0 Purdue
    59 +04 36 2-1 Arkansas
     
  6. friedriches

    friedriches mr. t

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    How does this formula work? Can you describe what is most important in determining the ranking?
     
  7. lsu-i-like

    lsu-i-like Playoff advocate

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    I factor in # of losses, point differential between actual performance and your opponents' average performances, quality wins and bad losses, strength of performance, and strength of schedule. I am using alot of data from last season because there isn't enough data yet from this season. That explains why Texas is so high (NC last year) and LSU is so low (ugly loss to Georgia).

    Once there is enough data for this season to stand on its own I won't be using anything from last season.
     
  8. lsu-i-like

    lsu-i-like Playoff advocate

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    09/23/2006
    01 +01 01 4-0 Ohio St
    02 -01 03 3-0 USC
    03 +00 07 3-1 Texas
    04 +00 04 4-0 W Virginia
    05 +00 02 4-0 Auburn
    06 +04 06 4-0 Michigan
    07 +04 08 4-0 Louisville
    08 +05 14 3-0 Oregon
    09 -03 17 3-0 TCU
    10 +06 09 3-1 LSU
    11 -02 05 4-0 Florida
    12 +03 12 3-1 Notre Dame
    13 -05 10 4-0 Georgia
    14 -07 11 4-0 Virginia Tech
    15 +03 16 3-1 Oklahoma
    16 +01 22 4-0 Boise St
    17 -03 26 3-1 Boston College
    18 -06 40 3-1 Alabama
    19 +01 32 2-2 Penn St
    20 +01 33 3-1 Texas Tech
    21 +13 18 3-1 Clemson
    22 +02 13 4-0 Iowa
    23 +04 25 4-0 Missouri
    24 +02 21 3-1 Nebraska
    25 +06 27 1-2 Miami Florida
    26 -07 37 3-1 Wisconsin
    27 -04 23 4-0 Rutgers
    28 +12 30 4-0 Texas A&M
    29 -01 15 3-1 Tennessee
    30 +14 36 4-0 Wake Forest
    xxx
    34 +02 19 3-1 Florida St
    31 +07 20 3-1 California
    40 -01 24 3-1 Georgia Tech
    33 +08 28 4-0 Purdue
    39 -14 28 3-1 Arizona St
    52 -17 30 3-1 Michigan St
    37 +22 34 3-1 Arkansas
    50 +32 34 3-1 Washington
    38 -16 38 2-1 UCLA
    48 +00 38 4-0 Houston
     
  9. lsu-i-like

    lsu-i-like Playoff advocate

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    09/30/2006
    01 +00 01 5-0 Ohio St
    02 +00 03 4-0 USC
    03 +01 04 4-0 W Virginia
    04 +07 05 5-0 Florida
    05 -02 07 4-1 Texas
    06 +00 06 5-0 Michigan
    07 -02 02 5-0 Auburn
    08 +00 11 4-0 Oregon
    09 -02 08 4-0 Louisville
    10 +00 09 4-1 LSU
    11 +01 12 4-1 Notre Dame
    12 +03 14 3-1 Oklahoma
    13 +00 10 5-0 Georgia
    14 -05 29 3-1 TCU
    15 +01 20 5-0 Boise St
    16 +05 15 4-1 Clemson
    17 +02 31 3-2 Penn St
    18 +02 26 4-1 Texas Tech
    19 -02 25 4-1 Boston College
    20 +03 23 5-0 Missouri
    21 +11 35 4-1 Pittsburgh
    22 -08 21 4-1 Virginia Tech
    23 -01 19 4-1 Iowa
    24 +05 13 4-1 Tennessee
    25 +01 30 4-1 Wisconsin
    26 +05 16 4-1 California
    27 +09 00 3-1 Tulsa
    28 -04 22 4-1 Nebraska
    29 -04 32 2-2 Miami Florida
    30 -03 24 5-0 Rutgers
    xxx
    34 +00 17 3-1 Florida St
    31 +09 18 4-1 Georgia Tech
    40 -10 27 5-0 Wake Forest
    42 +08 28 4-1 Washington
    37 +01 33 3-1 UCLA
    38 -01 34 3-1 Arkansas
     
  10. lsu-i-like

    lsu-i-like Playoff advocate

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    This week I am using only 2006 data, which explains the big changes in the positions of teams.

    10/07/2006
    01 +03 02 6-0 Florida
    02 +04 04 6-0 Michigan
    03 -02 01 6-0 Ohio St
    04 +05 07 5-0 Louisville
    05 -03 03 5-0 USC
    06 +18 08 5-1 Tennessee
    07 +08 20 6-0 Boise St
    08 +18 10 5-1 California
    09 -06 05 5-0 W Virginia
    10 +10 19 6-0 Missouri
    11 -06 06 5-1 Texas
    12 +04 12 5-1 Clemson
    13 -02 09 5-1 Notre Dame
    14 +16 24 5-0 Rutgers
    15 -07 18 4-1 Oregon
    16 -09 11 5-1 Auburn
    17 +06 15 5-1 Iowa
    18 -08 14 4-2 LSU
    19 +00 26 4-1 Boston College
    20 -08 23 3-2 Oklahoma
    21 +10 13 5-1 Georgia Tech
    22 -01 32 5-1 Pittsburgh
    23 +12 00 5-1 Navy
    24 +01 25 6-1 Wisconsin
    25 +11 00 2-2 Air Force
    26 +02 21 5-1 Nebraska
    27 +00 00 4-1 Tulsa
    28 +10 17 4-1 Arkansas
    29 +10 00 5-1 Texas A&M
    30 -08 22 4-1 Virginia Tech
    xxx
    31 +09 35 5-1 Wake Forest
    32 -19 16 5-1 Georgia
    34 -16 34 4-2 Texas Tech
    35 +02 28 4-1 UCLA
    37 +05 31 4-2 Washington
    38 -09 28 3-2 Miami Florida
    41 -07 27 3-2 Florida St
    43 -26 30 4-2 Penn St
    46 -03 35 4-2 BYU
    48 +01 33 3-2 N Carolina St

    Dropped Out
    36 -22 00 3-2 TCU
    43 -26 30 4-2 Penn St
     

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