LSU right-hander
Anthony Ranaudo started the year as one of -- if not
the -- top college starting pitchers in the class,
ranking No. 2 on the preseason Top 50. But he's made just one start due to elbow soreness, missing the last two weeks, and the school announced earlier this week that the 6-foot-7 ace will miss another week.
"Although Anthony felt it was much improved, he was still experiencing some of the same symptoms when he threw the ball today," head coach Paul Mainieri
told the Times Picayune Monday. "Therefore, we're going to wait another week before deciding when he will return. We were hopeful he could pitch this weekend against Kansas, but we're not going to put him on the mound until he feels 100 percent. We'll evaluate Anthony's condition again at this time next week."
The question now becomes centered around more than just when Ranaudo can return but how this early-season bout with soreness in his throwing elbow impacts his draft stock. One area scout opines that even though it's not his job to make medical decisions, he'd be wary of tabbing a pitcher with such elbow concerns anywhere in the top half of the first round.
"[The draft] is such a roll of the dice as it is," he explained. "Adding to the risk of paying a pitcher at least a couple million bucks when you know he's had a history of this ... it just doesn't make a lot of sense."
But let's paint a scenario of the next three months and assume Ranaudo is back to form, showing no signs of pain or discomfort in the elbow with high-end results to go with the healthy joint. How big of a risk is he then?
"Still a risk, because TJ risks, our doctors tell us ... it's about wear and tear, not a one-time freak thing. The injury, the tears, they build up over time. But here's the thing -- not every sore elbow is caused by the main ligament (the ulnar collateral ligament) that causes the [Tommy John surgery], and not every one of those that is causing the pain results in surgery. Just hope the kid gets back on the mound soon, for his own sake."
There's a chance that Ranaudo indeed puts the condition behind him, rolls through the SEC and into the Regionals and College World Series, flashing his plus stuff and showing why he was once considered a top-five talent in this year's class. But there's also a chance none of that will matter.
"I guess it just depends on the organization," one former GM said. "If you're in a position to take a small chance on a big return, you might take him and hope the proper handling is enough. Some of the clubs that don't like to spend money in the first place may not even consider it."
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