Run for the Roses: (Un) Official "Expert BCS Talk/Discussion" Thread (Wk of 11/20/05)

DarkHornet · Nov 21, 2005

Re: Run for the Roses: (Un) Official "Expert BCS Talk/Discussion" Thread (Wk of 11/20

LSUDork said:

here is how I solve this...Expect to NOT be playing in the Rose Bowl and then if the stars align you'll be happy.
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Good for you, you do that.

Now for those of us who actually enjoy breaking down the scenarios and speculating, this is our time to have fun too.

StaceyO · Nov 21, 2005

Re: Run for the Roses: (Un) Official "Expert BCS Talk/Discussion" Thread (Wk of 11/20

OU losing the Big 12 CG had nothing to do with us being in the Sugar Bowl that year--only those Syracuse and Boise St. games.

USNavyTiger · Nov 21, 2005

Re: Run for the Roses: (Un) Official "Expert BCS Talk/Discussion" Thread (Wk of 11/20

islstl said:

I know for a fact a team has lost and only dropped to #2, I just don't have an example off hand. Someone surely can help out with that.

Don't think anyone has ever stayed #1 after losing.

I am not sure USC would only fall to #2, I think LSU would be #1, Penn State #2 and USC #3. But even if USC were to fall only to #2, that assures LSU to beat Penn State for the #2 spot in the BCS as USC has wedged themselves between LSU and Penn State in the human polls.

So regardless, LSU is definitely in the title game if both UT and USC loses...the only question would be the opponent. Penn State or USC. Penn State could conceivably surpass USC in half of the computer polls and if PSU takes the #2 spot in the human polls, they would be our opponent.
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Oklahoma lost conf champ game in 03 and still remained #1... just cause they were THAT ahead of everyone...

TSdude · Nov 21, 2005

TejasTiger said:

Now that LSU is essentially the highest-rated 1-loss with the two teams above them still having games to play, I'd like to create a clearinghouse for all things BCS and Rose Bowl-related---links to informative articles, emails to guys like Jerry Palm and our old friend from 2003 Rick Tellshow, etc.

I think it would be neat to have as much justification as we BCS sleuths can uncover for saying things like "LSU will pass Penn St if they win out."

My semi-educated guess: boosts in computer rankings plus opening up some space in the human polls (LSU has two games left/one against ranked opp. to open up a lead on PSU whereas Va. Tech has two games left/one against ranked opp. to possibly catch PSU) should get the Tigers over that particular hump.

Also, I'm a bit concerned about Texas losing to A&M, beating Colorado and still passing LSU . Reason why is Texas is so damn strong in the computers that a loss followed by a win over Colorado may keep them close enough to LSU in the human polls to cause trouble.

In the immortal words of Reverend Jesse himself, "KEEP HOPE A-LIVE!!"
LSU! :crystal: :lsup:
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I'll gladly eat crow if Texas loses to A&M. A&M is a bad football team and are a 26 point underdog to Texas. Not that I think Colorado will win, but they might have a slightly better chance having been clobbered by the Horns earlier in the year.
Also, even if USC loses and Texas were to some how slip up and lose, unfortunately I don't think LSU will move past either team in the BCS rankings. Here's the only way I think LSU has a shot at the Rose Bowl:

This week LSU must beat Arkansas, Florida beats Florida State, Georgia beats Georgia Tech, Arizona State beats Arizona, Tennessee beats Kentucky, USC loses to UCLA. This week Texas needs to lose to A&M or lose next week to Colorado. Then LSU beats Georgia, Florida State wins the ACC Title.

Even with all this....I'm still very skeptical whether LSU will garner enough BCS points to make the title game. And if all this happens to LSU's favor, I still believe the East Coast bias of poll voters will move some votes in Penn State's favor.

Eventhough seeing Vandy beat Tennessee last Saturday was hilarious, it really hurts us that the Vols will not win out and go to a bowl. Of the one-loss teams right now, LSU's loss to Tennessee and UCLA's loss to Arizona is by far the worst.

Hawker45 · Nov 21, 2005

TSdude said:

Of the one-loss teams right now, LSU's loss to Tennessee and UCLA's loss to Arizona is by far the worst.
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When you want to get right to the heart of the matter.... well, there it is!

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Run for the Roses: (Un) Official "Expert BCS Talk/Discussion" Thread (Wk of 11/20/05)

DarkHornet Louisiana Sports Fan

StaceyO Football Turns Me On

USNavyTiger Founding Member

TSdude Founding Member

Hawker45 Founding Member

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