Since we're talkin' Florida, have you SEEN the FLA vs AU betting line?

im taking Fla.. and im like 8 of 10 in picks this year... selected betting but hundreds on each game...

 

I'm guessing Idiot Juice can get them 28 points, which should be more than enough to cover.

 

I don't think AU's defense has been the problem for them. The only way UF covers is if AU gives up a pick 6 or some other type of turnover AND a special teams score. I'm taking AU and the points.

 

Last week I thought FL was a sure bet. A team that averages 55 pts against a team ranked 88th in defense nationally. No way FL does not beat them by 22 looking for style points. Boy was I wrong. I thought it was the lock of the year. o:

 

ALMOST every team plays better at home... If ya gotta bet, take the Gators...
:geauxtige :geauxtige
:geauxtige :geauxtige

 

Ole Miss dropped into a nickel coverage set practically the entire game. End result, a so-so passing effort vs the Ole Miss defense.

Wouldn't you imagine that Muschamp saw the same thing, and will approach the game in the same manner?

The thing that flies in the face of that stat...

The most telling thing to me about Florida is they are allowing just about as many yards passing as they are recording. However, there is a huge disparity when rushing yards are compared.

Bottom line, going back to the thread, I wouldn't touch this game. Period. There are easier match-ups.

 

Thanks to all for the input. This is one of two lines that jumped out at me, the other being Baylor a double-digit dog to the hapless-lookin' Ags.

Dunno, still, about either game, but I will say this---it's hard to imagine a seasoned QB like Cox playing much worse than he has already, or Aubie turning it over as often as they did in their losses.

If anything keeps me off Auburn, it's the injuries. The resulting disparity in depth could cause Fla to pull away late, that's my main concern.

 

this is correct. we tend to think in absolutes that one team is garbage while another is much better so it will continue. auburn will eventually improve and this is a big line due to the swamp and the seemingly huge disparities in teams thus far.


however, the smart side is likely the war chickens. just pray cox doesnt start and/or throw 3 early picks. UF sleepwalking against ole miss bothers me more though than if they blew them out. Id prefer them coming in a bit overconfident. Now Urban will have them ready and not looking ahead as much to LSU as they would have otherwise.

 

I would not touch this game. As said by others the D should keep it close unless the O continually puts them in a bad way. Last weeks offensive explosion was due to many turnovers by NMSU in the second half, the first half AU wasn't quite even with the Aggies.

Even when Cox came in and played "well", he made throws that would be challenged better by even an average SEC Defense. I need to see more before I would say healed. One good thing for AU is that with three freshmen starting on the O-Line, Florida has a small D line.

I think this team will really grow this year, every game will be a struggle, but we are putting in some young guys that are aggressive.

 

This game is going to be shown on ESPN to a national audience and Florida's defense is still suspect.

I simply wouldn't bet on this game in any way, shape or form with an 18.5 spread.

Any time you go over 17 points just two random turnovers can ruin your bet.
No Way! :nope: :nope: