Right now 538 has Trump at a14% chance to win. Sooo. Maybe you don't really understand what that means.
But none of this means that he ever had a chance. I said that he had no chance to win the election, I didn't say he had no chance to get votes.....and you are confusing the two. I am beginning to believe that you truly do not understand that there are not enough white baby boomers to win an election any more. The only way a Reublican can win is if they can court minority vote in a serious way. I knew, going into the general, that Trump had no chance with minorities given his propensity for pissing them off. So, just because the polls showed a close race doesn't mean that he ever had a chance.
In states where either candidate has an average lead of 7 points or more, Clinton leads Trump 273-151. So she has enough electoral votes to win the Presidency with only states where she holds a lead of 7 points or more. The remaining states look like this: Nevada - Clinton leads by 3.9 Florida - Clinton leads by 3.9 North Carolina - Clinton leads by 2.7 Ohio - Clinton leads by 1.5 Arizona - Clinton leads by 0.8 Iowa - Clinton leads by 0.7 Georgia - Trump leads by 2.5 Missouri - Trump leads by 5 Alaska - Trump leads by 5 Texas - Trump leads by 5.1 Indiana - Trump leads by 6.2 All of this said, Trump's campaign admittedly has no ground (turn out the vote) game and Clinton's is Obama's former team, the ones who revolutionized getting our their voters. By most experts estimation, this is between a 1-2 point swing toward Clinton. Obama led McCain by 5 in the polls going into election day and won by 7, he led Romney by 3 going into election day and he won by 4. Romney had virtually no get out the vote team in place. Not that it would have mattered but......
Why are you still posting for a mathematical chance of Zero. Who are you trying to convince? Us or yourself?
I update the polling averages every week. Not my problem if you have a problem with the numbers....they don't lie
