Trump now down by only 3 in Michigan and now tied in New Mexico. Look for Wisconsin, Minnesota, Washington, Oregon, Colorado, Virginia, New Jersey and Pennsylvania to tighten within the margin of error by Election Day. Clinton will only have California, Illinois, DC and New York left as slam dunk victories come Election Day. That's it. Everything else will be single digit wins.
Early voting in Broward county (In the all important state of Florida), where Dems outnumber Republicans 2 to 1 is actually about a 50/50 split in early voters. As I have been telling you, Trump supporters and Clinton haters are EXTREMELY energized to vote for Trump while Clinton supporters are exactly the opposite. If this pattern holds (and it will), not only will Trump take Florida, but he will easily take Arizona and he will steal away New Mexico. And forget Texas, that will be a double digit victory for Trump. The border issue matters, and the people will speak loudly as to which way they want to go in handling illegal aliens.
Trump with with 174 solid electoral votes as of now (dems please stop dreaming of Texas and Georgia, although feel free to waste time, money and resources there) He will win Utah (McMullen voters will not show up to the polls in sufficient numbers to pull off an upset, not even remotely close), Arizona, Florida, Iowa, Ohio and North Carolina. That puts him at 259. His paths to victory 1) Nevada and Colorado 2) Nevada and New Hampshire 3) Colorado and 1 of the 4 delegates from Maine 4) New Mexico, New Hampshire and 1 of the 4 delegates from Maine 5) Michigan 6) Wisconsin 7) Minnesota 8) Pennsylvania 9) Virginia There ya have it. Lots of ways to get there. That rust belt, though.
The LA Times/USC poll, probably the only poll we should be paying attention to because it polls the exact same set of people each time, has Trump ahead now: Trump 46 Clinton 44
I kinda like this guy's too. He hasn't missed one in the last 30 years. http://www.aol.com/article/news/201...ars-president-election-donald-trump/21478061/
One day later Trump 47 Clinton 43 I suspect this will turn into a 7 or 8 point lead the day before the election.
538, NC's recent site, has Trump moving up in % chance to win. Directly conflicting with this thread title. http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/