CNN polls: 4 way race Trump 45 Clinton 43 More honest and trustworthy Trump 50 Clinton 35 Independent vote Trump 49 Clinton 29 RCP average Clinton 46.2 Trump 42.9 Trump is our next president if he wins the debates.
http://www.270towin.com/maps/7Gg8d The link I have provided shows where we truly are right now. Here are the true battleground states and the average polling margin for each candidate. Outside of these battlegrounds Clinton currently holds 263 electoral votes and Trump holds 145. These are states that either candidate currently holds at least a 5 point average polling lead. The battlegrounds are as follows: Georgia, Trump leads by 0.4 points on average (16 electoral votes) North Carolina, Clinton leads by 0.6 points on average (15 electoral votes) Iowa, Trump leads by 1.6 points on average (6 electoral votes) Ohio, Clinton leads by 2.2 points on average (18 electoral votes) Nevada, Clinton leads by 2.5 points on average (6 electoral votes) Arizona, Trump leads by 2.7 points on average (11 electoral votes) Florida, Clinton leads by 3 points on average (29 electoral votes) Wisconsin, Clinton leads by 3.3 points on average (10 electoral votes) Missouri, Trump leads by 4 points on average (10 electoral votes) South Carolina, Trump leads by 4.3 points on average (9 electoral votes) Out of these Clinton only needs 7 more electoral votes to carry the election. So she could win Georgia, North Carolina, Ohio, Arizona, Florida, Wisconsin, Missouri, or South Carolina and lose every other battleground and still win the election. That said, the very fact that Georgia, Arizona and South Carolina are battleground states should tell you everything that you need to know about this election. The fact that New Hampshire (9 pt lead), Michigan (6 pt lead), Pennsylvania (6 pt lead), Colorado (7 pt lead) and Virginia (8 pt lead) were originally considered battleground states and are now off the table should also clue you in about the direction this election is taking. Simply considering the 2012 map, where exactly is Trump stealing a state that Obama won? How does he go from the 206 electoral votes that Romney won to 270? Where does he steal the 64 electoral votes he needs? Do you even realize that all she has to do is win Wisconsin and she wins the election? That means Trump could win Ohio, Florida, North Carolina, Iowa, Georgia, Arizona, Nevada, South Carolina and Missouri and still lose the election. Keep dreaming.
In high school my English teacher, not a old guy, either, just kind of slumped against the lectern right in the middle of a lesson. Had some kind of brain hemorrhage or something. Died a day or so later. When it first happened many students were giving him a hard time, since he was prone to theatrics. They felt bad later.
Saying that states with polling showing only a 6 to 8 point lead is 'off the table' makes you a fucking moron with absolutely no credibility. That's only 2 to 4 points from being within the margin of error for goddamn sake.
says the guy who has been wrong about every prediction you've made about this election. credibility? you use one national poll as evidence of your guy winning and ignore the plethora of polls that show him trailing badly while I show an average of state polling, which is all that really matters, and you say I lack credibility? that's ignorant, Izzy. exactly, and that, statistically, is miles and miles ahead in today's politics. you underestimate how entrenched the american people are politically. plus, using your very own logic would mean that Texas and Mississippi are in play for the Democrats. Again, Romney won 206 electoral votes in 2012 and that was with him carrying NC. With Trump having to play defense in NC, AZ, SC and GA (and by your logic TX and MS) to keep Clinton from flipping those states blue, where exactly does he win enough electoral votes to carry the election? If you cannot answer this question just don't bother responding.
No, it's definitley not mathematically impossible for Trump to win. Let's all vote to make sure it doesn't happen.
