Why It Is Mathematically Impossible for Trump to win the White House

Discussion in 'Free Speech Alley' started by Tiger in NC, Mar 18, 2016.

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  1. islstl

    islstl Playoff committee is a group of great football men Staff Member

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    Latest CNN polling

    Trump up by 1 in Colorado
    Trump within 1 in Pennsylvania

    These were states thought to be out of reach for Trump one short month ago.
     
  2. islstl

    islstl Playoff committee is a group of great football men Staff Member

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    latest poll in Washington State

    Clinton up by only 6

    egad
     
  3. LSUpride123

    LSUpride123 PureBlood

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    Lies. NC says trump is getting his ass kicked.
     
  4. Tiger in NC

    Tiger in NC There's a sucker born everyday...

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    Update on polling averages, state by state:
    Solid Republican: West Virginia (53-32), Tennessee (55-37), South Dakota (51-37), Montana (51-38), Kentucky (57-34), Idaho (49-29), Alabama (57-36), Indiana (48-37), Utah (43-30), Kansas (49-37), Oklahoma (54-35), North Dakota (52-32), Wyoming (60-23), Arkansas (55-35), Louisiana (48-37), Nebraska (53-34), Missouri (48-38), South Carolina (48-38)
    Total: 118 electoral votes

    Solid Democrat: New Mexico (51-37), Hawaii (58-28), Delaware (50-36), Vermont (52-27), Oregon (47-31), Connecticut (51-37), Maryland (58-27), Illinois (50-36), New York (55-33), Massachusets (53-33), Washington (49-38), California (54-33), District of Columbia
    Total: 169 electoral votes

    Lean Republican: Alaska (43-34), Maine 2nd District (45-37)
    Total: 4 electoral votes

    Lean Democrat: Rhode Island (47-41), New Jersey (50-41), Minnesota (47-40), Maine (44-38), Virginia (49-40), New Hampshire (45-39)
    Total: 48 electoral votes

    This leaves the tally at 122 for Republicans and 217 for Democrats. Now for the battleground states:

    Trump winning
    Mississippi, 48-46 (6 electoral votes)
    Texas, 43-39 (38 electoral votes)
    Georgia, 46-42 (16 electoral votes)
    Ohio, 44-42 (18 electoral votes)
    Iowa, 43-41 (6 electoral votes)
    Total: 84 electoral votes

    Clinton winning
    Wisconsin, 46-41 (10 electoral votes)
    Pennsylvania, 47-43 (20 electoral votes)
    North Carolina, 44-43 (15 electoral votes)
    Colorado, 46-42 (9 electoral votes)
    Michigan, 46-41 (16 electoral votes)
    Florida, 46-44 (29 electoral votes)
    Total: 99 electoral votes

    Tied
    Arizona, 41-41 (11 electoral votes)
    Nevada, 43-43 (6 electoral votes)
    Total: 17 electoral votes

    If election held today: Clinton 316 electoral votes, Trump 206 with 17 votes up for grabs.
     
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  5. Big Tiger

    Big Tiger They don't call me "Big" for nuttin

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    Trump WILL win. No 2 ways or ifs ands or buts about it.
     
  6. Winston1

    Winston1 Founding Member

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  7. kcal

    kcal Founding Member

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    I don't understand how trump can win when he seems to be a complete and utter dumbass in front of the camera. anyone else in America would have beaten Hillary easily. damn shame gary johnson aleppo'ed
     
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  8. Tiger in NC

    Tiger in NC There's a sucker born everyday...

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    I really don't see where she says anything at all to offend them. What she said is very true and thoughtfully articulated at that. She identifies the problem and is sympathetic to their sentiments regarding the state of the country and the economy. They have been the real losers of the Great Recession. I got a chance to meet and hear Jason Dorsey speak recently at a furniture show in Nashville. I don't think there is anyone who better represents the millenial generation and what they are all about than Jason. Their entire adulthood was put on hold, he said, by the Great Recession. As a result they value things differently than previous generations. He predicts that the Millenials will finally join the economy in force over the next 3-4 years. All of this said, there are a certain percentage of Millenials who are going to place a protest vote no matter what.
     
  9. Tiger in NC

    Tiger in NC There's a sucker born everyday...

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    very true. I think a lot about what this race would look like if John Kasich were the Republican nominee and he would be ahead of her by 7-9 points right now, consistently. Trump is the result of 8 years of Republican obstruction at all costs. The narratives that had to be created in order to blindly oppose anything and everything that Obama wanted, right up to only passing budgets in the wee hours of the night just before falling off a financial cliff, have created an environment where conspiracy theory trumps (no pun intended) facts. I mean, we haven't even been able to get an infrastructure bill passed, which is probably the most mundane and sensible spending we can do to help kick start blue collar work.
     
  10. Tiger in NC

    Tiger in NC There's a sucker born everyday...

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    You have any facts to support that notion or are you just pontificating from the alt-right?
     
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