http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/4701027/ the above link contains the latest AP poll showing Bush and Kerry at a near deadlock, at 45% and 44% of the vote respectively. it also shows Nadar getting 6% of the vote. Nadar has been blamed for costing Al Gore the election last year (even though Gore won the Popular vote..insert your AP/BCS reference here if you like). most experts think Nadar votes would go to Kerry if Nadar was not in the election. This poll shows me GWB is not a lock for re-election by no means, and I am sure the new problems in Iraq and the recent 9/11 hearings are not going to help his cause in the future.